ESPN Metrics give Clemson a brutally low chance to stun Duke

Fansided | February 13, 2026

After a shocking home upset to Virginia Tech, No. 18 Clemson heads to Cameron Indoor Stadium as massive underdogs.

Clemson Tigers head coach Brad Brownell reacts after the Virginia Tech Hokies score Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2026, during the NCAA men’s basketball game at Littlejohn Coliseum in Clemson, South Carolina. Virginia Tech Hokies 76-66. | Alex Martin/Greenville News / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

The No. 18 Clemson Tigers were expected to be at Cameron Indoor Stadium this Saturday as the red-hot co-leaders of the ACC. Instead, they’re walking into a hornets’ nest with their momentum shattered and their analytic stock in freefall.