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Phil Jackson’s 40-20 rule says Denver can’t win the title, Nuggets beg to differ

Related Topics: Phil Jackson, Denver Nuggets

The Zen Master’s famous rule has predicted NBA champions for 45 years. Denver just missed it. But context is everything.

Feb 9, 2026; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets center Nikola Jokic (15) reacts in the second quarter against the Cleveland Cavaliers at Ball Arena. Mandatory Credit: Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images | Ron Chenoy-Imagn Images

Phil Jackson didn’t invent the 40-20 rule as a nonsensical hot take. The 11-time champion head coach popularized it because the data backed him up — convincingly.

Since the NBA added the three-point line in 1979, only four champions have won a title after accumulating 20 losses before reaching 40 wins: the 1994-95 Houston Rockets, the 2003-04 Detroit Pistons, the 2005-06 Miami Heat, and the 2020-21 Milwaukee Bucks.